The wonderful thing about interest rates is that you never can truly predict what direction they are heading in. For those of you that read my last post about rates going down, you at this point think I am a complete fool! At some level you might be right; however the same pressures that existed when I wrote that article are still there. They just have had some short term relief and the usual unpredictable influences that occur from time to time affect them. Let’s talk about where we were, where we went and where we are now?
Two weeks ago today our 30 year fixed on a conventional loan was about 6.75%. It was then that I started the article on rates dropping. Throughout that week the rates started to fall, so much that on Friday morning of that week I locked in a purchase at 6.125% on a 30 year loan. Around 1:00 that day it was announced that the Fed was stepping in and taking over Indy Mac bank. http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-indymac12-2008jul12,0,6071779.story At that point our rates jumped up to 6.375%.
The following Monday the market remained calm, and rates did not move. Then on Tuesday oil prices started to drop and over the next two days oil fell over $10 a barrel. All of a sudden Wall Street showed improvement in stock prices and the 6 week slide was halted. That meant that money was flowing back into stocks and out of bonds. Remember your economic lessons of previous posts, when the demand goes down the price goes down. On bonds when the price goes down the yield (interest rate) goes up. So by Friday of last week we were back to 6.75% on a 30 year loan.
As we start the week, we have oil starting to climb again and one of our two Presidential Candidates trying to move troops to
For questions or comments about this please contact
No comments:
Post a Comment